Antelope High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Woodcreek High School → Mira Loma High School → Rio Linda Senior High School → Rio Linda High → Foothill High → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.4%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,774 | -7 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,760 | -21 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,746 | -35 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sacramento County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Antelope High School's enrollment is tracking Sacramento County's baseline (+1.1% vs. +3.0%), and 90.1% stability is elite. The demographic tide is the headwind; you're holding your share.
187 of 1,886 students who enrolled at Antelope High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (9.9% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 7.6 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Roseville Joint Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 56.7%
Federal: 8.4%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Roseville Joint Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+2.1 pp above peer median (12.2%) · Ranked #2 of 9 similar schools
18.5%
12.2%
53.3%
14.3%
Higher than 39% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Antelope High School's UC Reach of 14.3% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, Antelope High School's UC Reach is higher than 39% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Antelope High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Antelope · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Antelope High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 9): 14% vs. a peer median of 12%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has held roughly steady since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 1% (444→449 from 2018 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of -0%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.4%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1760 by 2029 — about 21 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 21 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antelope High School | Public | 1781 | 14.3% | +1% |
| Peer-group median | 12.2% | -0% | ||
| Woodcreek High School | Public | 1969 | 13.4% | -8% |
| Mira Loma High School | Public | 1679 | 45.4% | -5% |
| Rio Linda Senior High School | Public | 1641 | 9.4% | +1% |
| Rio Linda High | Public | 1641 | — | -1% |
| Foothill High | Public | 1432 | 11.2% | +34% |
| John Adams Academy - Roseville | Public | 1630 | — | +11% |
| Del Campo High School | Public | 1531 | 7.7% | -4% |
| Bella Vista High School | Public | 1909 | 14.3% | +2% |
| Center High School | Public | 1257 | 8.8% | +3% |
| Roseville High School | Public | 1458 | 13.3% | -25% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.93 | 8.1% | 11.9% | -3.8pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.91 | 15.2% | 9.0% | +6.2pp | Over |
| UC San Diego | 3.93 | 24.3% | 21.5% | +2.8pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.85 | 42.9% | 27.2% | +15.7pp | Over |
| UC Irvine | 3.96 | 11.6% | 25.0% | -13.3pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 3.88 | 34.4% | 32.2% | +2.2pp | On target |
Where Antelope High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (23.0% actual vs. 22.3% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 37 | 3 | — | 8.1% | 0.8% | — | 3.93 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 33 | 5 | 4 | 15.2% | 1.3% | 80.0% | 3.91 | 4.16 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 37 | 9 | — | 24.3% | 2.3% | — | 3.93 | 4.19 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 28 | 12 | 5 | 42.9% | 3.1% | 41.7% | 3.85 | 4.17 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 43 | 5 | — | 11.6% | 1.3% | — | 3.96 | 4.20 |
| UC Davis → | 61 | 21 | 7 | 34.4% | 5.5% | 33.3% | 3.88 | 4.18 |