Bella Vista High School

Fair Oaks · Sacramento County · San Juan Unified
Public Sacramento County 🏛 San Juan Unified → ~454 seniors CDS 3467447…
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Compare with peers

Most similar nearby schools

Granite Bay High School → Cordova High School → Del Campo High School → Antelope High School → Rio Americano High School → Compare all similar →

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment (9–12)
1,984 (2018)1,909 (2026)
-3.8%
Grade 12 (graduating class)
443 (2018)450 (2026)
+1.6%

If this trend holds (-0.5%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~1,900 -9 $0
3 yr (2029) ~1,882 -27 $0
5 yr (2031) ~1,864 -45 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sacramento County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Healthy
Holding share of a shrinking market.

Bella Vista High School's enrollment is tracking Sacramento County's baseline (+1.6% vs. +3.0%), and 88.9% stability is elite. The demographic tide is the headwind; you're holding your share. Chronic absenteeism is rising (25.8%, +11.6 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.

+1.6%  school enrollment (2018–2026)
+3.0%  Sacramento County baseline
-1.4pp  gap vs. county
88.9%  retention (county median 80.8%)
Enrollment — indexed to 100 at 2018
Stability rate by year (raw %)
Stability rate
88.9%
1,801 of 2,025 students

224 of 2,025 students who enrolled at Bella Vista High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (11.1% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Sacramento County median
80.8% · school is in the 77th percentile of 77 HS
Statewide median
87.2% · in the 59th percentile of 1,688 HS

Stability by student group

White (1,202) 90.3%
Socio. disadvantaged (846) 84.8%
Hispanic / Latino (471) 86.2%
Students w/ disabilities (187) 85.6%
Two or more races (170) 87.6%
English learners (149) 82.6%

Nearest peer high schools

Granite Bay High School 93.3% Cordova High School 81.5% Del Campo High School 84.7% Antelope High School 90.1% Rio Americano High School 91.1%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.

Chronic absent
25.8%
510 of 1,980 students

Absenteeism is up 11.6 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.

Sacramento County median
25.8% · school is worse than 48% of 75 HS
Statewide median
22.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025

Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.

ELA — met or exceeded
n = 439
62.0%
incl. 29.8% exceeded
+15.9 pts above Sacramento County median (46.1%) · CA median 54.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 79.3%
Math — met or exceeded
n = 439
40.3%
incl. 17.8% exceeded
+22.6 pts above Sacramento County median (17.7%) · CA median 21.1% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 53.6%

Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.

Student composition — 2025-26

HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.

Race / ethnicity

White 59% -1.5
Hispanic / Latino 24%
Two or more 8%
Asian 4%
Black / African Am. 2%
Filipino 2%
Pacific Islander 1%

Program subgroups

Students w/ disabilities 35% +1.6
Socioeconomically disadv. 9%
English learners 6% +1.3
Homeless 1%

Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.

District financial profile — San Juan Unified (FY2020)

From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.

Total revenue
$692.7M
+5.9% since FY2017
Per-pupil revenue
$17,663
39,218 students enrolled
Revenue mix
State: 56.0%
Local: 32.8%
Federal: 11.2%
Instruction share
56.1%
of current spending · $7,727/pupil
Long-term debt
$666.8M
+51.0% since FY2017
Total revenue by year ($M)
Total expenditure by year ($M)

Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the San Juan Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).

University of California outcomes · Class of 2025
UC Reach
14%
65 admits / 454 seniors
-6.0 pp vs. peer median (20.3%) · Ranked #6 of 10 similar schools
5-year trend
2021 · 15.1% 2025 · 14.3%
Where this sits on the California curve
CA median
18.5%
Top 10%
53.3%
This school
14.3%
0%50%100%
CA median 18.5% Top 10% ≥ 53.3% This school 14.3%

Higher than 39% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)

📊 What this number means

Bella Vista High School's UC Reach of 14.3% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.

Overall, Bella Vista High School's UC Reach is higher than 39% of California high schools (1105 ranked).

UC Application Reach
51.5%
234 applications
In context: CA median 78.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 245.8% · Sacramento Co. Top 10% ≥ 143.7% · higher than 29% of CA HS.
UC Admit Rate
27.8%
65 / 234 applications
In context: CA median 26.0% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 40.5% · higher than 60% of CA HS.
UC Yield Rate
27.7%
18 enrolled of 65 admitted
Yield vs. Enrollment Reach: Yield answers "of UC admits, what % chose UC?" — denominator is just the admits. A small admitted cohort can post a low yield even when the school sends a healthy share of its class to UC.
UC Enrollment Reach
4.0%
18 enrollees / 454 seniors
Enrollment Reach vs. Yield: Reach answers "of the whole senior class, what % ended up at UC?" — denominator is everyone. High Yield with low Enrollment Reach is common at elite privates: most admits matriculate, but the school sends most of its class to non-UC selective colleges.
Student-Counselor Ratio
382:1
5.0 FTE counselors · 1,909 students
In context: CA median 338:1 · 44 more students per counselor · ASCA target 250:1.
A-G Completion
47%
192 of 406 graduates · 2024-25 cohort
In context: CA median 55.9% · -8.6 pp vs. median · Sacramento Co. 50.9%.
UC 6-Yr Grad Rate
89%
67% finished in 4 yrs · N=27 entered 2019
In context: CA median 88.6%.
Selective UC Reach (UCSD, UCSB, UCI, UCD)
8.4
per 100 seniors · campus-level total
In context: CA median 15.7 · Top 10% statewide ≥ 42.4 · higher than 16% of CA HS.
Elite UC Reach (UCB + UCLA)
2.6
per 100 seniors · campus-level total
In context: CA median 3.5 · Top 10% statewide ≥ 11.1 · higher than 39% of CA HS.
Senior Class Size
454
CDE grade 12 (exact)
Total School Enrollment
1,939
All grades · CDE Census Day
Economic Connectedness
1.39
76th percentile in CA · cross‑class friendships

Bella Vista High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · Fair Oaks · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • On UC Reach, Bella Vista High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 10): 14% vs. a peer median of 20%.
  • Its UC Reach has risen 2 points since 2018.
  • Senior-class enrollment is up 2% (443→450 from 2018 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of -0%.
  • At its recent rate (-0.5%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1882 by 2029 — about 27 fewer students than today.

Enrollment projection

1909 students (2026)
~1882 projected (2029)
at -0.5%/yr

That's about 27 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.

Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Bella Vista High School Public 1909 14.3% +2%
Peer-group median 20.3% -0%
Granite Bay High School Public 2064 39.1% -2%
Cordova High School Public 2043 7.8% +11%
Del Campo High School Public 1531 7.7% -4%
Antelope High School Public 1781 14.3% +1%
Rio Americano High School Public 1930 22.8% +25%
Vista Del Lago High Public 1861 41.3% +11%
Woodcreek High School Public 1969 13.4% -8%
Mira Loma High School Public 1679 45.4% -5%
John Adams Academy - Roseville Public 1630 +11%
Rocklin High School Public 1861 20.3% -9%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

Avg. Applicant GPA · top-6 UCs
3.95
Avg. Admitted GPA · top-6 UCs
4.27

Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus

How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?

Campus Applicant GPA (avg) Actual admit rate CA peer avg Δ Verdict
UC Berkeley 4.04 15.2% 13.3% +1.9pp On target
UCLA 3.95 20.6% 9.1% +11.5pp Over
UC San Diego 3.95 23.1% 21.1% +2.0pp On target
UC Santa Barbara 3.93 37.5% 29.5% +8.0pp Over
UC Irvine 3.96 14.3% 24.9% -10.6pp Under
UC Davis 3.91 44.3% 32.3% +11.9pp Over
"Applicant GPA" is the average GPA of this school's UC applicant pool — not an individual student GPA. "CA peer avg" is the application-weighted statewide admit rate at this school-pool GPA, fit separately per campus. At any given pool GPA, real admit rates span widely (UCSD ranges 8% → 65% across CA schools) because UCs use comprehensive review — context-of-opportunity, geography, demographics, and applicant essays all weigh in beyond GPA. A large negative residual flags this school is admitted at a meaningfully lower rate than other CA schools at the same pool GPA — not that students here were "rejected at expected rate X." "Over" / "Under" use a ±5-point band. Campuses with fewer than 5 applicants are omitted.

Where Bella Vista High School sits vs. all California schools

Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (27.8% actual vs. 22.9% expected).

UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025

UC Admit Rate %
UC Reach % (where available)
UC Admits (count, right axis)

Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.

Campus Breakdown — 2025

Campus Applicants Admits Enrollees Admit Rate UC Reach Yield Avg GPA (App) Avg GPA (Adm)
UC Berkeley → Elite 33 5 15.2% 1.1% 4.04 4.34
UCLA → Elite 34 7 4 20.6% 1.5% 57.1% 3.95 4.34
UC San Diego → Selective 39 9 3 23.1% 2.0% 33.3% 3.95 4.31
UC Santa Barbara → Selective 32 12 4 37.5% 2.6% 33.3% 3.93 4.27
UC Irvine → Selective 35 5 14.3% 1.1% 3.96 4.27
UC Davis → 61 27 7 44.3% 5.9% 25.9% 3.91 4.22
⚠ Campus-level totals may count one student admitted to multiple UC campuses more than once. Admit Volume metrics are not the same as UC Reach, which requires unique-student counts. See methodology →

What This Means

A large share of the senior class applies to UC, indicating strong college-going culture and UC pipeline development.
A large share of the class applies to UC, so the admit rate runs lower than the application volume alone might suggest — expected when many students apply broadly, including to reach campuses. UC Reach (which credits every admit relative to the class) is the truer read of how the class fares: a strong Reach alongside a moderate admit rate is healthy, not a contradiction.
Fewer than 15% of seniors are earning UC admission. This may reflect a high non-UC college-going rate, significant A-G completion gaps, or an early-stage UC pipeline. A deeper review of A-G readiness and counseling capacity is warranted.
Students are earning UC admission but enrolling elsewhere at a notable rate. This may reflect competition from private colleges, out-of-state flagships, cost considerations, or UC campus fit. Student outcome surveys can clarify.
Note: admit counts used here are campus-level totals. A student admitted to both UCLA and UCSD is counted twice. When UCOP unique-student data becomes available it will be loaded automatically and the labels will update.
Compare with other schools → See Sacramento County rankings →

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