Abraham Lincoln High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Theodore Roosevelt Senior High → Science, Technology, Engineering, Arts And Mathematics At Legacy High School Complex → Compton Early College High Sch → Alliance Cindy And Bill Simon Technology Academy High → Animo Watts College Preparatory Academy → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.2%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~500 | -1 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~498 | -3 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~496 | -5 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Los Angeles County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Abraham Lincoln High School is recruiting families faster than Los Angeles County is shrinking (school -4.5% vs. county -8.2%), but 55 students didn't make it to year-end. The recruitment engine works; the mid-year exits are worth understanding. Chronic absenteeism is rising (20.1%, +11.0 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.
55 of 543 students who enrolled at Abraham Lincoln High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (10.1% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.
Absenteeism is up 11.0 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
District financial profile — Paramount Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 19.7%
Federal: 15.8%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Paramount Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+89.9 pp above peer median (20.1%) · Ranked #1 of 5 similar schools
18.5%
53.3%
110.0%
Higher than 99% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
110.0% is exceptional and very rare. For every 100 seniors at Abraham Lincoln High School, the school is generating roughly 110 admissions to California's six most selective UCs (UCB, UCLA, UCSD, UCSB, UCI, UCD). The typical strong senior here is winning admission at multiple top campuses — a result fewer than 1% of California high schools achieve.
This places Abraham Lincoln High School in the elite tier statewide — the top-1% threshold is 102.7%.
Overall, Abraham Lincoln High School's UC Reach is higher than 99% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Abraham Lincoln High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Los Angeles · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Abraham Lincoln High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 5): 110% vs. a peer median of 20%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 35 points since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 4% (242→231 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +11%.
- ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Los Angeles County's senior population shrank 8% over the same window — Abraham Lincoln High School only shrank 4%. So Abraham Lincoln High School picked up about 4 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.2%/yr), enrollment projects to ~498 by 2029 — about 3 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 3 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abraham Lincoln High School | Public | 501 | 110.0% | -4% |
| Peer-group median | 20.1% | +11% | ||
| Theodore Roosevelt Senior High | Public | 527 | 21.3% | -3% |
| Science, Technology, Engineering, Arts And Mathematics At Legacy High School Complex | Public | 509 | — | +9% |
| Compton Early College High Sch | Public | 539 | 54.9% | +85% |
| Alliance Cindy And Bill Simon Technology Academy High | Public | 463 | — | +8% |
| Animo Watts College Preparatory Academy | Public | 550 | — | -4% |
| Rancho Dominguez Prep School | Public | 594 | 18.8% | -8% |
| Russell Westbrook Why Not? High | Public | 429 | — | +12% |
| Alliance Margaret M. Bloomfield Technology Academy High | Public | 590 | — | +20% |
| Visual And Performing Arts At Legacy High School Complex | Public | 354 | — | +15% |
| Magnolia Science Academy 3 | Public | 395 | 6.0% | +26% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.82 | 16.4% | 11.7% | +4.7pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.75 | 7.9% | 9.1% | -1.2pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.73 | 25.7% | 27.3% | -1.5pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.65 | 32.5% | 28.0% | +4.5pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 3.72 | 11.6% | 18.3% | -6.7pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 3.64 | 42.5% | 32.4% | +10.2pp | Over |
Where Abraham Lincoln High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (23.1% actual vs. 21.2% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 201 | 33 | 23 | 16.4% | 13.7% | 69.7% | 3.82 | 4.10 |
| UCLA → Elite | 190 | 15 | 7 | 7.9% | 6.2% | 46.7% | 3.75 | 4.16 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 202 | 52 | 17 | 25.7% | 21.6% | 32.7% | 3.73 | 4.17 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 154 | 50 | 3 | 32.5% | 20.7% | 6.0% | 3.65 | 4.09 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 181 | 21 | 4 | 11.6% | 8.7% | 19.0% | 3.72 | 4.11 |
| UC Davis → | 221 | 94 | 30 | 42.5% | 39.0% | 31.9% | 3.64 | 4.00 |