VALENTINE SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 32 students:
≈ 6 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $48,143 per student in district revenue, the 6 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $288,858/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARFA SCHOOLS MARFA |
Public | 33.8 | 59 | -37.2% |
| FT DAVIS SCHOOL FT DAVIS |
Public | 35.3 | 53 | -18.5% |
| VAN HORN SCHOOL VAN HORN |
Public | 37.6 | 116 | +31.8% |
| ALPINE H S ALPINE |
Public | 51.5 | 286 | -8.9% |
| BALMORHEA ISD EDUCATIONAL COMMUNITY BALMORHEA |
Public | 51.7 | 53 | — |
| Alpine Christian School Alpine |
Private | 51.7 | 48 | — |
| Alpine Christian School Alpine |
Private | 51.8 | 48 | — |
| SIERRA BLANCA SCHOOL SIERRA BLANCA |
Public | 65.4 | 35 | — |