BALMORHEA ISD EDUCATIONAL COMMUNITY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 146 students:
≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $36,342 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $109,026/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT DAVIS SCHOOL FT DAVIS |
Public | 28.4 | 53 | -18.5% |
| PECOS H S PECOS |
Public | 33.5 | 854 | +26.1% |
| Alpine Christian School Alpine |
Private | 41.6 | 48 | — |
| Alpine Christian School Alpine |
Private | 41.6 | 48 | — |
| ALPINE H S ALPINE |
Public | 42.1 | 286 | -8.9% |
| MARFA SCHOOLS MARFA |
Public | 48.8 | 59 | -37.2% |
| FORT STOCKTON HIGH FORT STOCKTON |
Public | 51.0 | 699 | +0.4% |
| BUTZ PREPARATORY ACADEMY FORT STOCKTON |
Public | 51.6 | 2,039 | — |