ALPINE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 286 students:
≈ 41 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,041 per student in district revenue, the 41 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $616,681/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpine Christian School Alpine |
Private | 0.7 | 48 | — |
| Alpine Christian School Alpine |
Private | 0.8 | 48 | — |
| FT DAVIS SCHOOL FT DAVIS |
Public | 20.3 | 53 | -18.5% |
| MARFA SCHOOLS MARFA |
Public | 21.9 | 59 | -37.2% |
| MARATHON INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DIST MARATHON |
Public | 27.6 | 20 | — |
| BALMORHEA ISD EDUCATIONAL COMMUNITY BALMORHEA |
Public | 42.1 | 53 | — |
| VALENTINE SCHOOL VALENTINE |
Public | 51.5 | 10 | — |
| BUTZ PREPARATORY ACADEMY FORT STOCKTON |
Public | 58.4 | 2,039 | — |