SIERRA BLANCA SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 100 students:
≈ 24 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $24,628 per student in district revenue, the 24 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $591,072/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FORT HANCOCK H S FORT HANCOCK |
Public | 30.1 | 105 | -17.3% |
| VAN HORN SCHOOL VAN HORN |
Public | 32.2 | 116 | +31.8% |
| TORNILLO H S TORNILLO |
Public | 47.5 | 241 | -23.5% |
| FABENS H S FABENS |
Public | 51.8 | 616 | -3.9% |
| DELL CITY SCHOOL DELL CITY |
Public | 53.5 | 25 | — |
| CLINT H S CLINT |
Public | 57.8 | 747 | +1.9% |
| SAN ELIZARIO H S SAN ELIZARIO |
Public | 58.6 | 985 | -4.6% |
| CLINT ISD EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY CLINT |
Public | 58.9 | 290 | -11.3% |