TULIA H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 267 students:
≈ 43 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,205 per student in district revenue, the 43 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $696,815/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRESS H S KRESS |
Public | 12.3 | 90 | +12.5% |
| HAPPY H S HAPPY |
Public | 15.3 | 81 | -14.7% |
| NAZARETH SCHOOL NAZARETH |
Public | 19.5 | 70 | -2.8% |
| HART ISD HART |
Public | 22.9 | 61 | +10.9% |
| PLAINVIEW H S PLAINVIEW |
Public | 23.9 | 1,418 | -4.8% |
| FLOYDADA ISD JJAEP PLAINVIEW |
Public | 24.2 | — | — |
| PLAINVIEW CLASSICAL ACADEMY PLAINVIEW |
Public · charter | 25.4 | 33 | — |
| Plainview Christian Academy Plainview |
Private | 25.4 | 87 | — |