HAPPY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 119 students:
≈ 21 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,717 per student in district revenue, the 21 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $288,057/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TULIA H S TULIA |
Public | 15.3 | 267 | -10.1% |
| CANYON H S CANYON |
Public | 15.5 | 1,097 | -6.2% |
| PREMIER HIGH SCHOOL-CANYON CANYON |
Public · charter | 16.3 | 32 | — |
| NAZARETH SCHOOL NAZARETH |
Public | 19.5 | 70 | -2.8% |
| RANDALL H S AMARILLO |
Public | 25.4 | 1,126 | -37.0% |
| KRESS H S KRESS |
Public | 27.2 | 90 | +12.5% |
| WEST PLAINS H S AMARILLO |
Public | 27.4 | 1,221 | +34.2% |
| AMARILLO COLLEGIATE ACADEMY AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 27.7 | 115 | +11.7% |