HART ISD
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 206 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,976 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $151,808/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAZARETH SCHOOL NAZARETH |
Public | 11.1 | 70 | -2.8% |
| OLTON H S OLTON |
Public | 14.0 | 197 | +18.0% |
| SPRINGLAKE-EARTH ISD EARTH |
Public | 16.5 | 83 | -9.8% |
| DIMMITT H S DIMMITT |
Public | 16.7 | 324 | -1.8% |
| KRESS H S KRESS |
Public | 20.8 | 90 | +12.5% |
| TULIA H S TULIA |
Public | 22.9 | 267 | -10.1% |
| PLAINVIEW H S PLAINVIEW |
Public | 25.5 | 1,418 | -4.8% |
| Plainview Christian Academy Plainview |
Private | 25.5 | 87 | — |