TORNILLO H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -8.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 241 students:
≈ 87 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,809 per student in district revenue, the 87 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,462,383/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FABENS H S FABENS |
Public | 4.4 | 616 | -3.9% |
| CLINT H S CLINT |
Public | 10.9 | 747 | +1.9% |
| SAN ELIZARIO H S SAN ELIZARIO |
Public | 11.4 | 985 | -4.6% |
| CLINT ISD EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY CLINT |
Public | 12.1 | 290 | -11.3% |
| Bethesda Christian Academy El Paso |
Private | 15.6 | 39 | — |
| HORIZON H S EL PASO |
Public | 16.1 | 1,469 | -11.5% |
| IDEA RIO VISTA COLLEGE PREPARATORY SOCORRO |
Public · charter | 17.7 | 243 | +153.1% |
| SOCORRO H S EL PASO |
Public | 18.1 | 2,579 | +4.0% |