SAN ELIZARIO H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 985 students:
≈ 75 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,173 per student in district revenue, the 75 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,062,975/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLINT H S CLINT |
Public | 1.2 | 747 | +1.9% |
| CLINT ISD EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY CLINT |
Public | 1.6 | 290 | -11.3% |
| Bethesda Christian Academy El Paso |
Private | 5.9 | 39 | — |
| IDEA RIO VISTA COLLEGE PREPARATORY SOCORRO |
Public · charter | 6.8 | 243 | +153.1% |
| FABENS H S FABENS |
Public | 7.0 | 616 | -3.9% |
| SOCORRO H S EL PASO |
Public | 7.2 | 2,579 | +4.0% |
| MISSION EARLY COLLEGE H S EL PASO |
Public | 8.0 | 410 | -11.6% |
| EASTLAKE H S EL PASO |
Public | 9.0 | 3,004 | +12.0% |