HORIZON H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,469 students:
≈ 271 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,085 per student in district revenue, the 271 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $4,088,035/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EASTLAKE H S EL PASO |
Public | 4.2 | 3,004 | +12.0% |
| Bethesda Christian Academy El Paso |
Private | 4.5 | 39 | — |
| MISSION EARLY COLLEGE H S EL PASO |
Public | 5.7 | 410 | -11.6% |
| OPTIONS H S EL PASO |
Public | 6.4 | 136 | +88.9% |
| KEYS ACAD EL PASO |
Public | 6.4 | 45 | — |
| AMERICAS H S EL PASO |
Public | 7.1 | 2,049 | -16.6% |
| IDEA RIO VISTA COLLEGE PREPARATORY SOCORRO |
Public · charter | 7.2 | 243 | +153.1% |
| PEBBLE HILLS H S EL PASO |
Public | 7.3 | 2,952 | +7.2% |