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FABENS H S

Public
FABENS, TX · FABENS ISD · 88.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 143 in 2021 to 128 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-10.5%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 616 students:

2025
608
2027
592
2029
576

≈ 40 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $15,726 per student in district revenue, the 40 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $629,040/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
TORNILLO H S
TORNILLO
Public 4.4 241 -23.5%
CLINT H S
CLINT
Public 6.5 747 +1.9%
SAN ELIZARIO H S
SAN ELIZARIO
Public 7.0 985 -4.6%
CLINT ISD EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY
CLINT
Public 7.7 290 -11.3%
Bethesda Christian Academy
El Paso
Private 11.4 39
HORIZON H S
EL PASO
Public 12.7 1,469 -11.5%
IDEA RIO VISTA COLLEGE PREPARATORY
SOCORRO
Public · charter 13.4 243 +153.1%
SOCORRO H S
EL PASO
Public 13.8 2,579 +4.0%

Is FABENS H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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