PROGRESO H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 431 students:
≈ 47 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,539 per student in district revenue, the 47 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $730,333/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUTH PALM GARDENS H S MERCEDES |
Public | 3.4 | 72 | +9.1% |
| WESLACO EAST H S WESLACO |
Public | 3.8 | 2,066 | +5.8% |
| MERCEDES EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY MERCEDES |
Public | 4.0 | 355 | -7.6% |
| SOUTH TEXAS ISD HEALTH PROFESSIONS MERCEDES |
Public | 4.1 | 781 | +4.7% |
| MERCEDES H S MERCEDES |
Public | 4.2 | 903 | -10.3% |
| SOUTH TEXAS ISD SCIENCE ACADEMY MERCEDES |
Public | 4.2 | 840 | +9.9% |
| TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-MERCEDES MERCEDES |
Public · charter | 4.6 | 109 | -2.7% |
| CAREER AND COLLEGE DEVELOPMENT CENTER WESLACO |
Public | 4.8 | 50 | — |