MERCEDES EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 355 students:
≈ 44 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,698 per student in district revenue, the 44 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $690,712/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-MERCEDES MERCEDES |
Public · charter | 0.6 | 109 | -2.7% |
| MERCEDES H S MERCEDES |
Public | 0.9 | 903 | -10.3% |
| SOUTH TEXAS ISD HEALTH PROFESSIONS MERCEDES |
Public | 1.4 | 781 | +4.7% |
| SOUTH TEXAS ISD SCIENCE ACADEMY MERCEDES |
Public | 1.4 | 840 | +9.9% |
| MERCEDES ACADEMIC ACADEMY MERCEDES |
Public | 1.6 | 100 | +56.2% |
| MERCEDES DAEP MERCEDES |
Public | 1.6 | — | — |
| SOUTH PALM GARDENS H S MERCEDES |
Public | 2.0 | 72 | +9.1% |
| WESLACO EAST H S WESLACO |
Public | 3.1 | 2,066 | +5.8% |