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SOUTH TEXAS ISD SCIENCE ACADEMY

Public
MERCEDES, TX · SOUTH TEXAS ISD · 54.8% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 148 in 2021 to 178 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+20.3%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +3.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 840 students:

2025
867
2027
924
2029
984

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $18,619 per student in district revenue, the 144 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $2,681,136/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
SOUTH TEXAS ISD HEALTH PROFESSIONS
MERCEDES
Public 0.1 781 +4.7%
SOUTH PALM GARDENS H S
MERCEDES
Public 1.0 72 +9.1%
MERCEDES EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY
MERCEDES
Public 1.4 355 -7.6%
TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-MERCEDES
MERCEDES
Public · charter 1.8 109 -2.7%
WESLACO EAST H S
WESLACO
Public 1.9 2,066 +5.8%
PREMIER H S OF WESLACO
WESLACO
Public · charter 2.1 112 +55.6%
TEXASWORKS - WESLACO
WESLACO
Public · charter 2.1 29
MERCEDES H S
MERCEDES
Public 2.3 903 -10.3%

Is SOUTH TEXAS ISD SCIENCE ACADEMY winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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