SOUTH TEXAS ISD HEALTH PROFESSIONS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -6.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 781 students:
≈ 208 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,619 per student in district revenue, the 208 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,872,752/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUTH TEXAS ISD SCIENCE ACADEMY MERCEDES |
Public | 0.1 | 840 | +9.9% |
| SOUTH PALM GARDENS H S MERCEDES |
Public | 0.9 | 72 | +9.1% |
| MERCEDES EARLY COLLEGE ACADEMY MERCEDES |
Public | 1.4 | 355 | -7.6% |
| TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-MERCEDES MERCEDES |
Public · charter | 1.8 | 109 | -2.7% |
| WESLACO EAST H S WESLACO |
Public | 1.9 | 2,066 | +5.8% |
| PREMIER H S OF WESLACO WESLACO |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 112 | +55.6% |
| TEXASWORKS - WESLACO WESLACO |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 29 | — |
| MERCEDES H S MERCEDES |
Public | 2.3 | 903 | -10.3% |