O'DONNELL SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 253 students:
≈ 58 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,738 per student in district revenue, the 58 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,144,804/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAHOKA H S TAHOKA |
Public | 13.9 | 183 | +8.3% |
| LAMESA SCHOOLS LAMESA |
Public | 17.2 | 463 | -6.7% |
| DAWSON SCHOOL WELCH |
Public | 17.5 | 37 | — |
| WILSON SCHOOL WILSON |
Public | 24.9 | 36 | — |
| NEW HOME SCHOOL NEW HOME |
Public | 25.4 | 200 | +29.9% |
| BORDEN COUNTY SCHOOL GAIL |
Public | 25.7 | 75 | +7.1% |
| KLONDIKE ISD LAMESA |
Public | 28.8 | 69 | +21.1% |
| BROWNFIELD H S BROWNFIELD |
Public | 29.1 | 465 | +4.3% |