LAMESA SCHOOLS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,484 students:
≈ 188 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,093 per student in district revenue, the 188 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,401,484/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLONDIKE ISD LAMESA |
Public | 12.4 | 69 | +21.1% |
| DAWSON SCHOOL WELCH |
Public | 16.1 | 37 | — |
| O'DONNELL SCHOOL O'DONNELL |
Public | 17.2 | 91 | -1.1% |
| SANDS CISD ACKERLY |
Public | 20.8 | 61 | -9.0% |
| LOOP SCHOOL LOOP |
Public | 28.9 | 47 | — |
| BORDEN COUNTY SCHOOL GAIL |
Public | 29.7 | 75 | +7.1% |
| GRADY SCHOOL LENORAH |
Public | 30.3 | 71 | +1.4% |
| TAHOKA H S TAHOKA |
Public | 30.6 | 183 | +8.3% |