NEW HOME SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -16.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 343 students:
≈ 203 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,553 per student in district revenue, the 203 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,548,259/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUBBOCK-COOPER H S LUBBOCK |
Public | 9.1 | 1,856 | -8.7% |
| WILSON SCHOOL WILSON |
Public | 10.5 | 36 | — |
| LUBBOCK-COOPER NEW HOPE ACADEMY LUBBOCK |
Public | 10.8 | 67 | -13.0% |
| All Saints Episcopal School Lubbock Lubbock |
Private | 12.0 | 374 | -11.2% |
| TAHOKA H S TAHOKA |
Public | 12.6 | 183 | +8.3% |
| Sharp Academy Lubbock |
Private | 13.1 | 43 | — |
| Southcrest Christian School Lubbock |
Private | 13.7 | 390 | +2.6% |
| FRENSHIP H S WOLFFORTH |
Public | 14.2 | 3,422 | +12.8% |