DAWSON SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 140 students:
≈ 14 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,834 per student in district revenue, the 14 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $235,676/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAMESA SCHOOLS LAMESA |
Public | 16.1 | 463 | -6.7% |
| LOOP SCHOOL LOOP |
Public | 16.9 | 47 | — |
| O'DONNELL SCHOOL O'DONNELL |
Public | 17.5 | 91 | -1.1% |
| WELLMAN-UNION SCHOOL WELLMAN |
Public | 19.1 | 55 | -20.3% |
| BROWNFIELD EDUCATION CENTER BROWNFIELD |
Public | 19.2 | 29 | — |
| BROWNFIELD H S BROWNFIELD |
Public | 19.2 | 465 | +4.3% |
| TAHOKA H S TAHOKA |
Public | 24.8 | 183 | +8.3% |
| SEAGRAVES SCHOOLS SEAGRAVES |
Public | 25.8 | 162 | +24.6% |