SHIRLEEN ZACHARIAS EARLY CLGE LEADERSHIP ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 128 students:
≈ 20 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,742 per student in district revenue, the 20 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $274,840/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOMERSET H S SOMERSET |
Public | 0.2 | 1,175 | +3.8% |
| SOUTHWEST H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 5.7 | 2,363 | +11.5% |
| SOUTHWEST LEGACY H S VON ORMY |
Public | 6.2 | 2,250 | +15.5% |
| LYTLE DAEP LYTLE |
Public | 9.1 | 5 | — |
| IDEA BRACKENRIDGE COLLEGE PREPARATORY SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 9.1 | 294 | +69.0% |
| FRANK L MADLA EARLY COLLEGE H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 9.2 | 150 | +0.7% |
| LYTLE H S LYTLE |
Public | 9.3 | 525 | +7.8% |
| CAST STEM H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 9.4 | 173 | -26.4% |