LOHN SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 123 students:
≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $24,931 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $74,793/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROCHELLE SCHOOL ROCHELLE |
Public | 13.9 | 50 | — |
| BRADY H S BRADY |
Public | 15.5 | 271 | -8.1% |
| BROOKESMITH SCHOOL BROOKESMITH |
Public | 23.1 | 47 | — |
| PANTHER CREEK SCHOOL VALERA |
Public | 23.3 | 50 | — |
| EDEN CISD EDEN |
Public | 26.6 | 64 | -19.0% |
| RICHLAND SPRINGS SCHOOL RICHLAND SPRINGS |
Public | 27.3 | 51 | — |
| SANTA ANNA SECONDARY SANTA ANNA |
Public | 29.0 | 70 | -27.8% |
| BANGS H S BANGS |
Public | 31.9 | 226 | -8.5% |