LA JOYA H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,405 students:
≈ 592 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,581 per student in district revenue, the 592 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $8,631,952/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THELMA ROSA SALINAS STEM EARLY COLLEGE H S LA JOYA |
Public | 0.2 | 471 | +3.3% |
| JIMMY CARTER EARLY COLLEGE H S LA JOYA |
Public | 0.3 | 327 | -8.7% |
| HOPE ACADEMY LA JOYA |
Public | 0.5 | 57 | — |
| PREMIER H S OF PALMVIEW PALMVIEW |
Public · charter | 6.2 | 108 | -13.6% |
| JUAREZ-LINCOLN H S MISSION |
Public | 6.8 | 1,952 | -7.1% |
| LA JOYA PALMVIEW H S MISSION |
Public | 7.0 | 2,073 | -5.4% |
| IDEA COLLEGE PREPARATORY MISSION MISSION |
Public · charter | 7.7 | 406 | +0.2% |
| MISSION COLLEGIATE H S ALTON |
Public | 8.9 | 399 | -8.7% |