JUAREZ-LINCOLN H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,952 students:
≈ 227 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,581 per student in district revenue, the 227 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,309,887/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISSION COLLEGIATE H S ALTON |
Public | 5.0 | 399 | -8.7% |
| LA JOYA PALMVIEW H S MISSION |
Public | 5.3 | 2,073 | -5.4% |
| PREMIER H S OF PALMVIEW PALMVIEW |
Public · charter | 6.3 | 108 | -13.6% |
| LA JOYA H S LA JOYA |
Public | 6.8 | 2,405 | -15.6% |
| THELMA ROSA SALINAS STEM EARLY COLLEGE H S LA JOYA |
Public | 6.9 | 471 | +3.3% |
| JIMMY CARTER EARLY COLLEGE H S LA JOYA |
Public | 7.1 | 327 | -8.7% |
| HOPE ACADEMY LA JOYA |
Public | 7.3 | 57 | — |
| IDEA NORTH MISSION COLLEGE PREPARATORY MISSION |
Public · charter | 7.6 | 376 | -6.2% |