FOSSIL RIDGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,140 students:
≈ 347 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,658 per student in district revenue, the 347 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $4,392,326/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENTRAL H S KELLER |
Public | 1.9 | 2,410 | -7.2% |
| KELLER COLLEGIATE ACADEMY KELLER |
Public | 2.4 | 296 | +289.5% |
| HALTOM H S HALTOM CITY |
Public | 3.3 | 2,757 | -1.2% |
| SAGINAW H S SAGINAW |
Public | 3.3 | 2,013 | -6.5% |
| Alliance Christian Academy Fort Worth |
Private | 3.6 | 202 | -16.9% |
| First Baptist Christian School Haltom City |
Private | 3.7 | 25 | — |
| TIMBER CREEK H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 3.9 | 2,970 | -7.0% |
| Harvest Christian Academy Keller |
Private | 4.0 | 237 | -22.3% |