SAGINAW H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,013 students:
≈ 215 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,389 per student in district revenue, the 215 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,878,635/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOSSIL RIDGE H S KELLER |
Public | 3.3 | 2,140 | -10.1% |
| CHISHOLM TRAIL H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 3.6 | 2,258 | -3.6% |
| ELMER C WATSON H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 3.7 | 90 | -7.2% |
| ALTER DISCIPLINE CAMPUS FORT WORTH |
Public | 3.7 | 37 | — |
| MARINE CREEK COLLEGIATE H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 3.7 | 350 | -5.9% |
| ILTEXAS KELLER SAGINAW H S FORT WORTH |
Public · charter | 3.7 | 747 | -0.7% |
| BOSWELL H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 4.1 | 2,445 | +1.5% |
| HALTOM H S HALTOM CITY |
Public | 4.1 | 2,757 | -1.2% |