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CENTRAL H S

Public
KELLER, TX · KELLER ISD · 31.1% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 609 in 2021 to 590 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-3.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -2.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,410 students:

2025
2,350
2027
2,236
2029
2,126

≈ 284 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,658 per student in district revenue, the 284 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,594,872/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
KELLER COLLEGIATE ACADEMY
KELLER
Public 1.5 296 +289.5%
FOSSIL RIDGE H S
KELLER
Public 1.9 2,140 -10.1%
Harvest Christian Academy
Keller
Private 2.1 237 -22.3%
KELLER COMPASS CENTER
KELLER
Public 2.2 58 -20.5%
TIMBER CREEK H S
FORT WORTH
Public 2.9 2,970 -7.0%
KELLER H S
KELLER
Public 2.9 2,951 -6.4%
Alliance Christian Academy
Fort Worth
Private 3.7 202 -16.9%
First Baptist Christian School
Haltom City
Private 4.1 25

Is CENTRAL H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

Request an Enrollment Trend Audit →