TIMBER CREEK H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,970 students:
≈ 338 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,658 per student in district revenue, the 338 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $4,278,404/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliance Christian Academy Fort Worth |
Private | 2.3 | 202 | -16.9% |
| Harvest Christian Academy Keller |
Private | 2.4 | 237 | -22.3% |
| KELLER COMPASS CENTER KELLER |
Public | 2.4 | 58 | -20.5% |
| CENTRAL H S KELLER |
Public | 2.9 | 2,410 | -7.2% |
| KELLER H S KELLER |
Public | 3.2 | 2,951 | -6.4% |
| LEGACY LEARNING CENTER HASLET |
Public | 3.8 | 50 | — |
| Heritage Christian Academy Haslet |
Private | 3.8 | 166 | +33.9% |
| FOSSIL RIDGE H S KELLER |
Public | 3.9 | 2,140 | -10.1% |