RANDALL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -14.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,126 students:
≈ 605 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,550 per student in district revenue, the 605 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $6,987,750/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMARILLO COLLEGIATE ACADEMY AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 3.0 | 115 | +11.7% |
| RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY AMARILLO AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 3.1 | 133 | -26.9% |
| Central Baptist Christian Academy Amarillo |
Private | 3.5 | 9 | — |
| AMARILLO H S AMARILLO |
Public | 3.7 | 2,161 | -0.3% |
| WEST PLAINS H S AMARILLO |
Public | 3.8 | 1,221 | +34.2% |
| Ascension Academy Amarillo |
Private | 4.1 | 171 | -2.3% |
| Holy Cross Catholic Academy Amarillo |
Private | 4.6 | 114 | +20.0% |
| PREMIER H S OF AMARILLO AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 4.8 | 250 | -6.7% |