GARY SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 476 students:
≈ 18 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,767 per student in district revenue, the 18 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $265,806/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PANOLA CS CARTHAGE |
Public · charter | 7.1 | 28 | — |
| TIMPSON SCHOOL TIMPSON |
Public | 8.5 | 224 | +2.3% |
| TENAHA SCHOOLS TENAHA |
Public | 9.0 | 149 | -3.2% |
| PANOLA EARLY COLLEGE H S CARTHAGE |
Public · charter | 9.1 | 48 | — |
| CARTHAGE H S CARTHAGE |
Public | 9.3 | 785 | -1.9% |
| Northside Christian Academy Carthage |
Private | 9.3 | 35 | — |
| GARRISON H S GARRISON |
Public | 15.6 | 221 | -2.6% |
| BECKVILLE JR-SR HIGH SCHOOL BECKVILLE |
Public | 15.9 | 201 | +4.7% |