TENAHA SCHOOLS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 414 students:
≈ 82 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,560 per student in district revenue, the 82 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,275,920/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIMPSON SCHOOL TIMPSON |
Public | 8.8 | 224 | +2.3% |
| GARY SCHOOL GARY |
Public | 9.0 | 136 | +7.9% |
| CENTER H S CENTER |
Public | 10.2 | 662 | -5.4% |
| ROUGHRIDER ACADEMY CENTER |
Public | 10.2 | 43 | — |
| JOAQUIN SCHOOLS JOAQUIN |
Public | 11.6 | 219 | +6.8% |
| PANOLA CS CARTHAGE |
Public · charter | 13.9 | 28 | — |
| Northside Christian Academy Carthage |
Private | 15.8 | 35 | — |
| PANOLA EARLY COLLEGE H S CARTHAGE |
Public · charter | 16.0 | 48 | — |