GARRISON H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 221 students:
≈ 10 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,217 per student in district revenue, the 10 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $132,170/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIMPSON SCHOOL TIMPSON |
Public | 8.0 | 224 | +2.3% |
| MT ENTERPRISE H S MT ENTERPRISE |
Public | 13.2 | 141 | +8.5% |
| MARTINSVILLE SCHOOL MARTINSVILLE |
Public | 13.6 | 92 | -7.1% |
| CENTRAL HEIGHTS H S NACOGDOCHES |
Public | 14.0 | 333 | -1.2% |
| NACOGDOCHES H S NACOGDOCHES |
Public | 14.9 | 1,755 | +0.1% |
| NACOGDOCHES CO ALTER ED COOP NACOGDOCHES |
Public | 15.3 | — | — |
| MARGIE CHUMBLEY ACADEMY FOR SUCCESS NACOGDOCHES |
Public | 15.3 | 67 | +17.5% |
| GARY SCHOOL GARY |
Public | 15.6 | 136 | +7.9% |