CARTHAGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 785 students:
≈ 24 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,187 per student in district revenue, the 24 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $364,488/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PANOLA EARLY COLLEGE H S CARTHAGE |
Public · charter | 0.7 | 48 | — |
| Northside Christian Academy Carthage |
Private | 1.5 | 35 | — |
| PANOLA CS CARTHAGE |
Public · charter | 2.6 | 28 | — |
| BECKVILLE JR-SR HIGH SCHOOL BECKVILLE |
Public | 7.9 | 201 | +4.7% |
| GARY SCHOOL GARY |
Public | 9.3 | 136 | +7.9% |
| TATUM H S TATUM |
Public | 14.1 | 437 | -7.6% |
| TENAHA SCHOOLS TENAHA |
Public | 16.4 | 149 | -3.2% |
| TIMPSON SCHOOL TIMPSON |
Public | 17.7 | 224 | +2.3% |