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HERITAGE H S

Public
FRISCO, TX · FRISCO ISD · 13.5% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 489 in 2021 to 488 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-0.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,996 students:

2025
1,977
2027
1,939
2029
1,901

≈ 95 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $11,681 per student in district revenue, the 95 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,109,695/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
INDEPENDENCE H S
FRISCO
Public 0.8 1,698 -6.5%
ROCK HILL H S
FRISCO
Public 2.5 2,442 -2.2%
LIBERTY H S
FRISCO
Public 2.6 1,798 -7.1%
CENTENNIAL H S
FRISCO
Public 2.8 2,018 -2.5%
Red Comet
Frisco
Private 2.9 1,297 -54.4%
Grace Covenant Academy-Frisco
Frisco
Private 3.4 165 +16.2%
EMERSON H S
MCKINNEY
Public 3.8 1,844 +122.7%
WALNUT GROVE H S
PROSPER
Public 4.0 2,268 +32.2%

Is HERITAGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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