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WALNUT GROVE H S

Public
PROSPER, TX · PROSPER ISD

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 193 in 2023 to 512 in 2024 — over 1 years.
+165.3%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +32.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,268 students:

2025
2,998
2027
5,236
2029
9,147

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $13,622 per student in district revenue, the 6,879 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $93,705,738/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
ROCK HILL H S
FRISCO
Public 2.0 2,442 -2.2%
PROSPER DAEP
PROSPER
Public 2.7
PROSPER H S
PROSPER
Public 3.4 3,753 +13.8%
HERITAGE H S
FRISCO
Public 4.0 1,996 -2.9%
MCKINNEY BOYD H S
MCKINNEY
Public 4.5 2,547 -6.3%
INDEPENDENCE H S
FRISCO
Public 4.7 1,698 -6.5%
Grace Covenant Academy-Frisco
Frisco
Private 5.3 165 +16.2%
IMAGINE INTERNATIONAL ACADEMY OF NORTH TEXAS
MCKINNEY
Public · charter 5.7 252 +10.5%

Is WALNUT GROVE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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