CENTENNIAL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,018 students:
≈ 82 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,681 per student in district revenue, the 82 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $957,842/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Comet Frisco |
Private | 0.4 | 1,297 | -54.4% |
| LIBERTY H S FRISCO |
Public | 1.6 | 1,798 | -7.1% |
| LEBANON TRAIL H S FRISCO |
Public | 2.0 | 2,173 | +7.6% |
| Coram Deo Academy Of Collin County Plano |
Private | 2.1 | 535 | — |
| INDEPENDENCE H S FRISCO |
Public | 2.2 | 1,698 | -6.5% |
| HERITAGE H S FRISCO |
Public | 2.8 | 1,996 | -2.9% |
| FRISCO H S FRISCO |
Public | 3.0 | 1,985 | +2.2% |
| STUDENT OPPORTUNITY CENTER FRISCO |
Public | 3.4 | — | — |