ELMER C WATSON H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 90 students:
≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,389 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $147,279/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALTER DISCIPLINE CAMPUS FORT WORTH |
Public | 0.0 | 37 | — |
| BOSWELL H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 1.2 | 2,445 | +1.5% |
| Lake Country Christian School Fort Worth |
Private | 1.8 | 437 | +12.1% |
| CHISHOLM TRAIL H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 2.0 | 2,258 | -3.6% |
| MARINE CREEK COLLEGIATE H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 2.2 | 350 | -5.9% |
| LAKE WORTH H S LAKE WORTH |
Public | 3.0 | 953 | -8.0% |
| SAGINAW H S SAGINAW |
Public | 3.7 | 2,013 | -6.5% |
| Crossroads Christian Academy Fort Worth |
Private | 4.1 | 39 | — |