CHISHOLM TRAIL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,258 students:
≈ 135 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,389 per student in district revenue, the 135 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,807,515/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARINE CREEK COLLEGIATE H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 0.3 | 350 | -5.9% |
| LAKE WORTH H S LAKE WORTH |
Public | 1.8 | 953 | -8.0% |
| ELMER C WATSON H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 2.0 | 90 | -7.2% |
| ALTER DISCIPLINE CAMPUS FORT WORTH |
Public | 2.0 | 37 | — |
| Crossroads Christian Academy Fort Worth |
Private | 2.5 | 39 | — |
| BOSWELL H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 3.2 | 2,445 | +1.5% |
| PREMIER H S - FORT WORTH (JACKSBORO) FORT WORTH |
Public · charter | 3.4 | 101 | +11.0% |
| SAGINAW H S SAGINAW |
Public | 3.6 | 2,013 | -6.5% |