WELLMAN-UNION SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 248 students:
≈ 50 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,049 per student in district revenue, the 50 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $952,450/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOOP SCHOOL LOOP |
Public | 9.5 | 47 | — |
| SEAGRAVES SCHOOLS SEAGRAVES |
Public | 10.8 | 162 | +24.6% |
| BROWNFIELD EDUCATION CENTER BROWNFIELD |
Public | 13.0 | 29 | — |
| BROWNFIELD H S BROWNFIELD |
Public | 13.6 | 465 | +4.3% |
| DAWSON SCHOOL WELCH |
Public | 19.1 | 37 | — |
| MEADOW SCHOOL MEADOW |
Public | 23.8 | 76 | -11.6% |
| DENVER CITY H S DENVER CITY |
Public | 24.4 | 512 | +2.8% |
| PLAINS H S PLAINS |
Public | 25.1 | 129 | -3.0% |