COMMERCE H S
Public
COMMERCE, TX · COMMERCE ISD · 70.8% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 99 in 2021 to
104 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+5.1%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +0.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 456 students:
2025
459
2027
465
2029
471
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $15,805 per student in district revenue, the 15 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $237,075/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAMPBELL H S CAMPBELL |
Public | 6.5 | 78 | -17.9% |
| CUMBY COLLEGIATE H S CUMBY |
Public | 8.7 | 125 | -6.7% |
| WOLFE CITY H S WOLFE CITY |
Public | 12.0 | 222 | +1.4% |
| FANNINDEL H S LADONIA |
Public | 12.7 | 36 | — |
| Greenville Christian School Greenville |
Private | 14.1 | 223 | +6.2% |
| PIONEER TECHNOLOGY (PTAA) GREENVILLE GREENVILLE |
Public · charter | 14.1 | 165 | +66.7% |
| NEW HORIZONS LEARNING CENTER GREENVILLE |
Public | 14.2 | 77 | -4.9% |
| GREENVILLE H S GREENVILLE |
Public | 14.7 | 1,520 | +6.7% |