FANNINDEL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -12.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 50 students:
≈ 25 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,975 per student in district revenue, the 25 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $499,375/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WOLFE CITY H S WOLFE CITY |
Public | 8.7 | 222 | +1.4% |
| HONEY GROVE H S HONEY GROVE |
Public | 11.9 | 221 | +1.8% |
| DODD CITY SCHOOL DODD CITY |
Public | 12.7 | 91 | -6.2% |
| COMMERCE H S COMMERCE |
Public | 12.7 | 456 | +2.0% |
| COOPER H S COOPER |
Public | 15.2 | 224 | -4.7% |
| LEONARD H S LEONARD |
Public | 16.8 | 269 | +1.9% |
| CELESTE H S CELESTE |
Public | 17.1 | 147 | -0.7% |
| BONHAM H S BONHAM |
Public | 17.9 | 591 | +16.6% |