NEW HORIZONS LEARNING CENTER
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 77 students:
≈ 6 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,977 per student in district revenue, the 6 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $77,862/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIONEER TECHNOLOGY (PTAA) GREENVILLE GREENVILLE |
Public · charter | 0.1 | 165 | +66.7% |
| Greenville Christian School Greenville |
Private | 0.6 | 223 | +6.2% |
| GREENVILLE H S GREENVILLE |
Public | 3.0 | 1,520 | +6.7% |
| CADDO MILLS H S CADDO MILLS |
Public | 8.5 | 833 | +40.9% |
| CAMPBELL H S CAMPBELL |
Public | 8.6 | 78 | -17.9% |
| BOLES H S QUINLAN |
Public | 9.3 | 176 | +4.8% |
| LONE OAK H S LONE OAK |
Public | 10.6 | 335 | +3.7% |
| WH FORD H S QUINLAN |
Public | 13.4 | 799 | +8.1% |