CUMBY COLLEGIATE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -11.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 154 students:
≈ 71 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,233 per student in district revenue, the 71 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,081,543/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAMPBELL H S CAMPBELL |
Public | 6.3 | 78 | -17.9% |
| MILLER GROVE SCHOOL CUMBY |
Public | 8.2 | 79 | +1.3% |
| COMMERCE H S COMMERCE |
Public | 8.7 | 456 | +2.0% |
| LONE OAK H S LONE OAK |
Public | 11.4 | 335 | +3.7% |
| SULPHUR SPRINGS H S SULPHUR SPRINGS |
Public | 13.1 | 1,270 | +4.0% |
| PIONEER TECHNOLOGY (PTAA) GREENVILLE GREENVILLE |
Public · charter | 13.8 | 165 | +66.7% |
| NEW HORIZONS LEARNING CENTER GREENVILLE |
Public | 13.8 | 77 | -4.9% |
| Greenville Christian School Greenville |
Private | 14.1 | 223 | +6.2% |