TATUM H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 437 students:
≈ 54 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,315 per student in district revenue, the 54 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $719,010/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BECKVILLE JR-SR HIGH SCHOOL BECKVILLE |
Public | 6.3 | 201 | +4.7% |
| HALLSVILLE DAEP HALLSVILLE |
Public | 11.9 | — | — |
| CARTHAGE H S CARTHAGE |
Public | 14.1 | 785 | -1.9% |
| HALLSVILLE H S HALLSVILLE |
Public | 14.2 | 1,451 | +2.0% |
| PANOLA EARLY COLLEGE H S CARTHAGE |
Public · charter | 14.7 | 48 | — |
| Northside Christian Academy Carthage |
Private | 15.2 | 35 | — |
| Marshall Christian Academy Marshall |
Private | 16.1 | 104 | +44.4% |
| TEXAS EARLY COLLEGE H S MARSHALL |
Public · charter | 16.2 | 82 | -18.8% |