BALLINGER H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 231 students:
≈ 36 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,310 per student in district revenue, the 36 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $551,160/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLFEN SCHOOL ROWENA |
Public | 9.8 | 46 | — |
| WINTERS H S WINTERS |
Public | 14.8 | 140 | -14.6% |
| MILES H S MILES |
Public | 16.0 | 142 | +2.9% |
| PAINT ROCK SCHOOL PAINT ROCK |
Public | 17.4 | 68 | +30.8% |
| BRONTE ISD BRONTE |
Public | 21.0 | 66 | +22.2% |
| VERIBEST H S VERIBEST |
Public | 25.2 | 86 | +19.4% |
| PANTHER CREEK SCHOOL VALERA |
Public | 26.0 | 50 | — |
| BLACKWELL SCHOOL BLACKWELL |
Public | 31.1 | 66 | +29.4% |