PAINT ROCK SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 213 students:
≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $20,051 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $40,102/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLFEN SCHOOL ROWENA |
Public | 7.7 | 46 | — |
| MILES H S MILES |
Public | 17.0 | 142 | +2.9% |
| BALLINGER H S BALLINGER |
Public | 17.4 | 231 | -9.8% |
| VERIBEST H S VERIBEST |
Public | 19.8 | 86 | +19.4% |
| EDEN CISD EDEN |
Public | 20.1 | 64 | -19.0% |
| PANTHER CREEK SCHOOL VALERA |
Public | 23.8 | 50 | — |
| WALL H S WALL |
Public | 24.4 | 361 | +7.8% |
| FAIRVIEW ACCELERATED SAN ANGELO |
Public | 29.2 | 1 | — |