WINTERS H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 140 students:
≈ 32 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,804 per student in district revenue, the 32 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $441,728/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALLINGER H S BALLINGER |
Public | 14.8 | 231 | -9.8% |
| JIM NED H S TUSCOLA |
Public | 19.7 | 464 | +6.9% |
| BRONTE ISD BRONTE |
Public | 20.5 | 66 | +22.2% |
| BLACKWELL SCHOOL BLACKWELL |
Public | 23.0 | 66 | +29.4% |
| OLFEN SCHOOL ROWENA |
Public | 24.6 | 46 | — |
| MILES H S MILES |
Public | 28.2 | 142 | +2.9% |
| WYLIE H S ABILENE |
Public | 30.1 | 1,537 | +13.2% |
| ROBERT LEE SCHOOL ROBERT LEE |
Public | 31.1 | 80 | +11.1% |