ALTO H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 146 students:
≈ 24 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,803 per student in district revenue, the 24 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $427,272/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUSK H S RUSK |
Public | 9.3 | 621 | +4.5% |
| DOUGLASS SCHOOL DOUGLASS |
Public | 11.2 | 134 | -10.7% |
| WELLS SCHOOL WELLS |
Public | 14.3 | 82 | +5.1% |
| CUSHING SCHOOL CUSHING |
Public | 17.8 | 165 | +1.2% |
| KENNARD ISD KENNARD |
Public | 21.6 | 72 | +10.8% |
| COMPASS CENTER JACKSONVILLE |
Public | 21.9 | 13 | — |
| NEW SUMMERFIELD SCHOOL NEW SUMMERFIELD |
Public | 22.2 | 157 | +4.0% |
| CENTRAL H S POLLOK |
Public | 22.2 | 408 | +7.7% |